33558 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 80% of adults in 33558 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33558, ~33% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33558 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33558 leans more Republican than 26 of 45 neighbors.
Politically, 33558 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33558. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 33558 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33558, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in 33558 are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33558, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 33558 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 33558 have completed high school, about 8 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.