34223 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 84% of adults in 34223 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34223, ~31% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34223 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34223 leans more Republican than 4 of 13 neighbors.
34223 runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34223. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 34223 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 34223. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 34223, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 34223 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34223 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 64% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 34223 have completed high school, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.