33953 leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 86% of adults in 33953 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33953, ~27% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33953 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33953 leans more Republican than 17 of 20 neighbors.
33953 runs about 26 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 33953 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33953, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33953 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 33953 are family households, above 85% of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33953, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33953 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 33953 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 56%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 33953 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 33953 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.