34994 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 34994 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34994, ~29% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34994 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34994 leans more Republican than 4 of 12 neighbors.
Politically, 34994 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34994. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 60 points.
Why 34994 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34994, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34994 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 76%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 34994, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 34994 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34994 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%, below 58% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.