34984 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 34984 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34984, ~34% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34984 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34984 leans more Republican than 5 of 17 neighbors.
Politically, 34984 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34984. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 34984 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34984, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34984 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 89%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in 34984 are family households, above 89% of zip codes.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34984, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 34984 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34984 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.