38745 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 50% of adults in 38745 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38745, ~21% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38745 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38745 leans more Republican than 7 of 9 neighbors.
38745 runs about 5 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Why 38745 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 38745. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 38745, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 38745 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38745 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 6%, about 55 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 36% of adults in 38745 report food insecurity, above 97% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in 38745 have completed high school, below 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.