39054 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 39054 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 39054, ~36% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 39054 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 39054 leans more Democratic than 4 of 6 neighbors.
39054 runs about 42 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 39054 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 39054 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 39054, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 67% of residents in 39054 are Black or African American, about 31 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in 39054 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes. 39054 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 39054, MS does.
Why turnout in 39054 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 39054 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 7%, about 53 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in 39054 report food insecurity, above 98% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 63% of adults in 39054 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.