40206 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 40206 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40206, ~51% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40206 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40206 leans more Democratic than 38 of 46 neighbors.
40206 runs about 77 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while 40206 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 40206. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+61) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+30), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 40206 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 40206, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 98% of residents in 40206 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 40206 sits in the top quarter (about 58%, above 93% of zip codes). 40206 runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 40206, KY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 40206 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 40206 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.