40207 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 86% of adults in 40207 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40207, ~52% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40207 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40207 leans more Democratic than 30 of 45 neighbors.
40207 runs about 52 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while 40207 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 40207. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 40207 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 40207, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 67% of adults in 40207 hold a bachelor's degree, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 40207 sits in the top fifth on density (about 95%, above 91% of zip codes). 40207 runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 40207, KY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 40207 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 40207 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 40207 have completed high school, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.