40211 is a Democratic stronghold. About 94% of voters here vote Democratic and 6% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 40211 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40211, ~50% vote Democratic, ~3% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40211 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40211 is the most Democratic-leaning.
40211 runs about 119 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while 40211 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 40211 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 40211, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 40211 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in 40211 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes. 40211 runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 40211, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 40211 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 60% of households in 40211 rent, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 40211 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 40211 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.