40213 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 40213 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 40213, ~34% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 40213 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 40213 leans more Democratic than 28 of 45 neighbors.
40213 runs about 47 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while 40213 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 40213. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 40213 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 40213, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 99% of residents in 40213 live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 40213 have never been married, above 86% of zip codes. 40213 runs against the grain of Kentucky, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 40213, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 40213 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 35% of households in 40213 rent, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.