44431 leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 44431 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 44431, ~19% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 44431 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 44431 leans more Republican than 13 of 24 neighbors.
44431 runs about 38 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 44431. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 44431 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 44431, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 44431, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Ohio average of 23%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 84% of residents in 44431 drive to work alone, above 84% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 44431, OH sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 44431 looks the way it does
Turnout in 44431 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.