17954 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 17954 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 17954, ~25% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 17954 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 17954 leans more Republican than 3 of 49 neighbors.
17954 runs about 25 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 17954. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 17954 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 17954, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
17954 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 84%, far above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 17954 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 84% of zip codes).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 17954, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 17954 looks the way it does
Turnout in 17954 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.