48811 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 48811 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 48811, ~13% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 48811 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 48811 leans more Republican than 3 of 14 neighbors.
48811 runs about 43 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 48811 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 48811, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in 48811 hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Michigan average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 48811 are family households, above 86% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 48811, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 48811 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in 48811 report food insecurity, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in 48811 have completed high school, below 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.