48860 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 48860 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 48860, ~18% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 48860 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 48860 leans more Republican than 11 of 12 neighbors.
48860 runs about 47 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 48860 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 48860, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 4% of adults in 48860 hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the Michigan average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 88% of residents in 48860 drive to work alone, above 93% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 48860, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 48860 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 48860 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.