58102 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 58102 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58102, ~32% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58102 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58102 leans more Democratic than 10 of 15 neighbors.
58102 runs about 41 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58102 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 58102. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 57 points.
Why 58102 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58102, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
58102 votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58102 runs about 41 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 58102, ND sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 58102 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 49% of households in 58102 rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.