58078 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 58078 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58078, ~34% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58078 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58078 leans more Republican than 8 of 16 neighbors.
58078 runs about 21 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 58078. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 58078 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58078, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
58078 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 91%, far above the North Dakota average of 12%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 58078, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 58078 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 58078 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 58078 have completed high school, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.