58381 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 58381 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58381, ~27% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58381 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58381 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 3 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.
58381 runs about 35 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 58381. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+49), a spread of about 66 points.
Why 58381 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 58381. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 58381, ND does.
Why turnout in 58381 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 27% of adults in 58381 report food insecurity, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 16%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 58381 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.