58357 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 45% of adults in 58357 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58357, ~25% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58357 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58357 leans more Democratic than 2 of 5 neighbors.
58357 runs about 49 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58357 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 58357 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58357, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
58357 votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58357 runs about 49 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in 58357 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; 58357, ND sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 58357 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 32% of adults in 58357 report food insecurity, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 58357 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 58357 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.