85193 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 38% of adults in 85193 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85193, ~16% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85193 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85193 leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.
85193 runs about 12 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85193. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+56) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 96 points.
Why 85193 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85193, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in 85193 hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 85193, AZ does.
Why turnout in 85193 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85193 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 6 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 85193 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in 85193 have completed high school, below 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.