85342 is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 57% of adults in 85342 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85342, ~12% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85342 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85342 is the most Republican-leaning.
85342 runs about 52 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85342. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 85342 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85342, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in 85342 are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 85342, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 85342 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in 85342 have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.