85361 is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 85361 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85361, ~15% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85361 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85361 leans more Republican than 6 of 7 neighbors.
85361 runs about 48 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85361. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 85361 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85361, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in 85361 are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 85361, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 85361 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in 85361 own their home, about 22 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.