88002 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 24% of adults in 88002 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88002, ~10% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~76% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88002 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 88002 is the most Republican-leaning.
88002 runs about 21 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88002 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 88002. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+83) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 69 points.
Why 88002 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88002, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in 88002 are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 88002 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 88002, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 88002 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in 88002 rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 88002 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.