88312 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 88312 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88312, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88312 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 88312 leans more Republican than 2 of 5 neighbors.
88312 runs about 33 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88312 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 88312. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 88312 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88312, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
88312 votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88312 runs about 33 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 88312, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 88312 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in 88312 own their home, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.