94931 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 94931 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 94931, ~48% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 94931 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 94931 leans more Democratic than 11 of 21 neighbors.
94931 runs about 22 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 94931. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+49) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+26), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 94931 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 94931, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 78% of residents in 94931 live in densely developed areas, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in 94931 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 94931, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 94931 looks the way it does
Turnout in 94931 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.