95112 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 95112 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95112, ~31% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95112 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95112 leans more Democratic than 51 of 56 neighbors.
95112 runs about 28 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95112. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+59) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 95112 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95112, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 95112 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 95112 sits in the top quarter (about 40%, above 81% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in 95112 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 95112, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 95112 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 71% of households in 95112 rent, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 95112 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in 95112 report food insecurity, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.