95126 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 95126 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95126, ~38% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95126 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95126 leans more Democratic than 50 of 57 neighbors.
95126 runs about 25 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95126. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+55) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+33), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 95126 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95126, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 95126 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 95126 sits in the top quarter (about 55%, above 92% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 95126 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 95126, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 95126 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 66% of households in 95126 rent, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in 95126 have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.