95837 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 30% of adults in 95837 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95837, ~14% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~70% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95837 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95837 leans more Republican than 28 of 35 neighbors.
95837 runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95837 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95837. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+20) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+55), a spread of about 74 points.
Why 95837 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95837, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95837 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95837 runs about 28 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in 95837 are family households, above 86% of zip codes.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 95837, CA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 95837 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 95837 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.