96011 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 96011 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96011, ~17% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96011 compares
96011 runs about 57 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 96011 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 96011 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96011, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
96011 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 96011 runs about 57 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 96011 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 80% of zip codes). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 96011 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of zip codes).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 96011, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96011 looks the way it does
Turnout in 96011 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.