96761 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 50% of adults in 96761 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96761, ~29% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96761 compares
96761 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
96761 runs about 6 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96761. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 96761 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 96761. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 96761, HI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96761 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 16% of homes in 96761 have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of zip codes. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in 96761 rent, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.