97486 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 97486 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 97486, ~27% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 97486 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 97486 leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
97486 runs about 48 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97486 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 97486 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 97486, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
97486 votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97486 runs about 48 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in 97486 are family households, above 98% of zip codes.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 97486, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 97486 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 97486 own their home, about 19 points above the Oregon average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.