99829 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 62% of adults in 99829 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99829, ~34% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99829 compares
99829 runs about 23 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99829 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 99829 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99829, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
99829 votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99829 runs about 23 points more Democratic.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 99829, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 99829 looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. 99829 sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in 99829 rent, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.