99820 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 63% of adults in 99820 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99820, ~36% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99820 compares
99820 runs about 28 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99820 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 99820 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99820, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
99820 votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99820 runs about 28 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in 99820 have never been married, above 76% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 99820, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 99820 looks the way it does
Turnout in 99820 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.