Aaronsburg leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Aaronsburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aaronsburg, ~18% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aaronsburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Aaronsburg leans more Republican than 19 of 99 neighbors.
Aaronsburg runs about 41 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Aaronsburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aaronsburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Aaronsburg sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 11 points above the Pennsylvania average of 87%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Aaronsburg, PA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Aaronsburg looks the way it does
Turnout in Aaronsburg sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Millheim, PA R+32
- Woodward, PA R+43
- Rebersburg, PA R+52
- Madisonburg, PA R+50
- Weikert, PA R+65
- Pennhall, PA R+37
- Farmers Mills, PA R+34
- Lamar, PA R+63
- Spring Mills, PA R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Crowder, OK R+72
- Shelby, NE R+68
- Clayville, NY R+37
- New Hradec, ND R+73
- Edgemont, SD R+61
- Harrietts Bluff, GA R+48
- Sunbury, GA R+49
- Sand Rock, AL R+83
- Woodland, MS R+38
- Garland, NE R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.