Clayville leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Clayville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clayville, ~26% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clayville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clayville leans more Republican than 60 of 135 neighbors.
Clayville runs about 49 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Clayville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clayville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Clayville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clayville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clayville votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Clayville runs about 49 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Clayville, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Clayville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Clayville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Clayville have completed high school, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sauquoit, NY R+34
- Cassville, NY R+45
- Chadwicks, NY R+17
- Paris Station, NY R+41
- North Winfield, NY R+46
- Daytonville, NY R+43
- Bridgewater, NY R+48
- West Winfield, NY R+45
- Sangerfield, NY R+37
- New Hartford, NY R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aaronsburg, PA R+42
- Harrietts Bluff, GA R+48
- New Hradec, ND R+73
- Sunbury, GA R+49
- Shelby, NE R+68
- Crowder, OK R+72
- Edgemont, SD R+61
- Cedarville, MI R+8
- Chappell, NE R+71
- Garland, NE R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.