Aberdeen leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Aberdeen typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aberdeen, ~40% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aberdeen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Aberdeen leans more Democratic than 41 of 46 neighbors.
Aberdeen runs about 41 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Aberdeen is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Aberdeen. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+57) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+70), a spread of about 127 points.
Why Aberdeen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aberdeen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Aberdeen is about 41%, about 32 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Aberdeen have never been married, above 89% of cities. Aberdeen runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Aberdeen, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Aberdeen looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Aberdeen sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Aberdeen, MS R+33
- Becker, MS R+81
- Binford, MS R+3
- Lackey, MS R+79
- Athens, MS R+76
- Wren, MS R+52
- Gibson, MS D+38
- Darracott, MS R+41
- Amory, MS R+50
- Hamilton, MS R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tiburon, CA D+44
- Pismo Beach, CA D+14
- Helena Valley Southeast, MT R+35
- Willows, CA R+33
- Capistrano Beach, CA R+9
- Mammoth Lakes, CA D+19
- Brooklyn, MI R+29
- Magee, MS R+27
- Bremen, IN R+44
- Webster City, IA R+28
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.