Apopka is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Apopka typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Apopka, ~38% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Apopka compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Apopka leans more Democratic than 57 of 77 neighbors.
Apopka runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Apopka is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Apopka. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+53) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 75 points.
Why Apopka leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Apopka, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Apopka votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Apopka runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Apopka, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Apopka looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Apopka is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Apopka, FL D+36
- Forest City, FL R+11
- Zellwood, FL R+31
- Wekiwa Springs, FL R+16
- Lockhart, FL D+14
- Mount Plymouth, FL R+45
- Altamonte Springs, FL D+7
- Ocoee, FL D+6
- Pine Hills, FL D+64
- Eatonville, FL D+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Buford, GA R+3
- Warner Robins, GA D+10
- San Marcos, TX D+20
- Parma, OH R+4
- Smyrna, GA D+34
- Folsom, CA D+9
- Pleasanton, CA D+32
- Turlock, CA R+13
- Oshkosh, WI D+3
- St. Joseph, MO R+21
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.