Apple Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Apple Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Apple Valley, ~9% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Apple Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Apple Valley leans more Republican than 11 of 13 neighbors.
Apple Valley runs about 43 points more Republican than Utah as a whole.
Why Apple Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Apple Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Apple Valley live in densely developed areas, about 31 points below the Utah average of 32%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Apple Valley are family households, above 88% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Apple Valley, UT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Apple Valley looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 86% of adults in Apple Valley have completed high school, below 77% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rockville, UT R+58
- Hildale, UT R+63
- Virgin, UT R+61
- Springdale, UT R+54
- Colorado City, AZ R+57
- La Verkin, UT R+63
- Hurricane, UT R+61
- Toquerville, UT R+71
- Cane Beds, AZ R+53
- Leeds, UT R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harpertown, WV R+56
- Belton, KY R+64
- Ballico, CA R+39
- Sale City, GA R+61
- Lowry, MN R+43
- Falling Water, TN R+41
- Coalton, OH R+63
- Ridott, IL R+44
- Mark, IL R+29
- Cold Spring, PA R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.