Falling Water, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Falling Water

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Falling Water leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.

 

About 80% of adults in Falling Water typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Falling Water, ~23% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Falling Water compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Falling Water leans more Republican than 13 of 69 neighbors.

Falling Water runs about 12 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.

Why Falling Water leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Falling Water, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Falling Water votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 30%, modestly above the Tennessee average of 21%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Falling Water are family households, above 77% of cities.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Falling Water, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Falling Water looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Falling Water is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.