Arcadia leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Arcadia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arcadia, ~42% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arcadia compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arcadia leans more Democratic than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Arcadia runs about 44 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole. Michigan is roughly evenly split, and Arcadia sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arcadia. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Arcadia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arcadia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arcadia votes against the grain of Michigan. Michigan is roughly evenly split, while Arcadia runs about 44 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Arcadia sits in the top quarter (about 55%, above 76% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 73% of adults in Arcadia have never been married, above 98% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Arcadia, Kalamazoo, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Arcadia looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 84% of households in Arcadia rent, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Arcadia report food insecurity, above 83% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Knollwood, Kalamazoo, MI D+42
- Western Michigan University-KRPH, Kalamazoo, MI D+51
- Oakland-Winchell, Kalamazoo, MI D+46
- Vine, Kalamazoo, MI D+51
- Westnedge Hill, Kalamazoo, MI D+50
- Northside, Kalamazoo, MI D+79
- South Westnedge, Kalamazoo, MI D+38
- Edison, Kalamazoo, MI D+43
- Milwood, Kalamazoo, MI D+28
- Burke Acres, Kalamazoo, MI D+29
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Rivers Bend Estates, Lafayette, LA R+43
- Brandywine, Broomfield, CO D+24
- The Greater Ville, St. Louis, MO D+87
- Myers, Tucson, AZ D+24
- Downer Woods, Milwaukee, WI D+55
- Swan, Grand Rapids, MI D+45
- Belding Woods, Richmond, CA D+49
- Upper Falls, Rochester, NY D+59
- Highland Terrace, Oakland, CA D+55
- Sharyland Plantation, Mission, TX R+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.