Arden Heights leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Arden Heights typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arden Heights, ~16% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arden Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arden Heights leans more Republican than 6 of 15 neighbors.
Arden Heights runs about 59 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Arden Heights is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arden Heights. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Arden Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arden Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arden Heights votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Arden Heights runs about 59 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Arden Heights are family households, above 84% of neighborhoods.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Arden Heights, Staten Island, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Arden Heights looks the way it does
Turnout in Arden Heights sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Woodrow, Staten Island, NY R+58
- Ettingville, Staten Island, NY R+54
- Huguenot, Staten Island, NY R+60
- Annandale-on-Hudson, Staten Island, NY R+55
- Rossville, Staten Island, NY R+57
- Great Kills, Staten Island, NY R+51
- Prince's Bay, Staten Island, NY R+56
- Charleston, Staten Island, NY R+51
- Bloomfield, Staten Island, NY R+37
- Richmondtown, Staten Island, NY R+41
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown, Evanston, IL D+74
- Jefferson Park, Los Angeles, CA D+59
- Central District, Seattle, WA D+80
- Edgewood-Kirkwood, Atlanta, GA D+75
- Sherwood-Tualatin South, Tualatin, OR D+28
- Far Northeast-Houston, Houston, TX D+5
- Glen-Fallstaff, Baltimore, MD D+49
- Potrero, San Francisco, CA D+79
- West Loch, Waipahu, HI D+9
- Overlake, Bellevue, WA D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.