Arlington Heights leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Arlington Heights typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlington Heights, ~35% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arlington Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arlington Heights leans more Democratic than 2 of 8 neighbors.
Arlington Heights runs about 23 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Arlington Heights is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arlington Heights. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Arlington Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arlington Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 61% of adults in Arlington Heights hold a bachelor's degree, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Arlington Heights runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Arlington Heights, Fort Worth, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Arlington Heights looks the way it does
Turnout in Arlington Heights sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Como, Fort Worth, TX D+65
- Downtown Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX D+20
- Fairmount, Fort Worth, TX D+28
- TCU-West Cliff, Fort Worth, TX D+6
- Northside, Fort Worth, TX D+17
- Southside, Fort Worth, TX D+36
- Western Hills Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX D+7
- Scenic Bluff, Fort Worth, TX D+21
- Diamond Hill-Jarvis, Fort Worth, TX D+20
- Far West, Fort Worth, TX R+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Coney Island, Brooklyn, NY R+18
- Model City, Miami, FL D+60
- Garfield Ridge, Chicago, IL Even
- Clearview, Queens, NY Even
- Meadowview, Sacramento, CA D+39
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Rittenhouse Square, Philadelphia, PA D+67
- South Beach, Staten Island, NY R+33
- Mountain's Edge, Las Vegas, NV Even
- Constable Hook, Bayonne, NJ D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.