Ashby leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Ashby typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashby, ~20% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ashby leans more Republican than 9 of 29 neighbors.
Ashby runs about 43 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Ashby is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ashby leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashby, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ashby votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Ashby runs about 43 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Ashby, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ashby looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ashby is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 66% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Melby, MN R+49
- Erdahl, MN R+39
- Dalton, MN R+43
- Evansville, MN R+51
- Elbow Lake, MN R+34
- Millerville, MN R+51
- Barrett, MN R+35
- Brandon, MN R+47
- Urbank, MN R+43
- Wendell, MN R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vanleer, TN R+66
- Patton Village, CA R+27
- Browns Crossing, GA R+22
- New York, TX R+72
- Palestine, AR R+48
- Centerville, LA Even
- Baileyville, ME R+36
- Plains, KS R+64
- Parshall, ND R+15
- Vinalhaven, ME D+19
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.