Baileyville leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in Baileyville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baileyville, ~24% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baileyville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baileyville leans more Republican than 17 of 23 neighbors.
Baileyville runs about 43 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Baileyville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Baileyville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baileyville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Baileyville votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Baileyville runs about 43 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Baileyville, ME sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Baileyville looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Baileyville have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woodland, ME R+39
- South Princeton, ME R+37
- Alexander, ME R+37
- Baring, ME R+29
- Calais, ME R+11
- Meddybemps, ME R+35
- St. Croix Junction, ME R+18
- Princeton, ME R+17
- West Princeton, ME R+37
- Grove, ME R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parshall, ND R+15
- Centerville, LA Even
- Ashland, ME R+43
- West Leechburg, PA R+31
- Vinalhaven, ME D+19
- Lake Milton, OH R+48
- Patton Village, CA R+27
- Foxtown, SC R+4
- Winthrop, IA R+42
- Flatwoods, TN R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.