Atwater leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Atwater typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Atwater, ~22% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Atwater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Atwater leans more Republican than 75 of 114 neighbors.
Atwater runs about 37 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Atwater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Atwater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in Atwater are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Atwater, OH sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Atwater looks the way it does
Turnout in Atwater sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Randolph, OH R+41
- New Baltimore, OH R+50
- Limaville, OH R+52
- Rootstown, OH R+37
- Marlboro, OH R+52
- Campbellsport, OH R+34
- Deerfield, OH R+49
- Suffield, OH R+41
- Palmyra, OH R+52
- Hartville, OH R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Waldport, OR D+11
- Spencerville, OH R+70
- Eagle Lake, FL R+24
- Knightstown, IN R+53
- Lakeview, OH R+50
- Houston, MO R+66
- Sobieski, WI R+44
- Marysville, PA R+35
- Tonasket, WA R+41
- Mount Union, PA R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.