Ava leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Ava typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ava, ~19% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ava compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ava leans more Republican than 74 of 97 neighbors.
Ava runs about 61 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ava is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ava. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Ava leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ava, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ava votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ava runs about 61 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Ava, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Ava looks the way it does
Turnout in Ava sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Delta, NY R+43
- West Branch, NY R+50
- Lee Center, NY R+40
- North Western, NY R+56
- Frenchville, NY R+45
- Westernville, NY R+48
- Point Rock, NY R+52
- West Lee, NY R+50
- Lee, NY R+46
- Locust Grove, NY R+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Village Mills, TX R+84
- Smith, NV R+53
- Baldwin, ND R+65
- Machpelah, NC R+42
- Sparks, TX R+72
- Tilsit, MO R+68
- Neptune, OH R+72
- Nelson, WI R+31
- Middle River, MN R+42
- Bombay, NY R+26
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.