Avalon Beach is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Avalon Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Avalon Beach, ~7% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Avalon Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Avalon Beach leans more Republican than 28 of 39 neighbors.
Avalon Beach runs about 68 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Avalon Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Avalon Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Avalon Beach live in densely developed areas, about 52 points below the Florida average of 57%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Avalon Beach, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Avalon Beach looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Avalon Beach sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Munson, FL R+80
- Berrydale, FL R+81
- Fidelis, FL R+81
- Cobbtown, FL R+80
- Allentown, FL R+74
- East Milton, FL R+44
- Milton, FL R+52
- New York, FL R+80
- Jay, FL R+82
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oxbow, OR R+39
- Bryson, CA R+25
- Sorrel, LA Even
- Ritner, KY R+84
- Haylow, GA R+61
- Nassau, MN R+56
- Clayton, SC D+40
- Elm Park, AR R+72
- Wilmore, KS R+77
- Cade, OK R+73
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.