Milton is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Milton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Milton, ~19% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Milton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Milton leans more Republican than 16 of 33 neighbors.
Milton runs about 39 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Milton. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Milton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Milton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Milton votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Milton, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Milton looks the way it does
Turnout in Milton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pace, FL R+52
- Bagdad, FL R+55
- East Milton, FL R+44
- Allentown, FL R+74
- Ferry Pass, FL R+15
- Avalon Beach, FL R+81
- New York, FL R+80
- Gonzalez, FL R+41
- Cottage Hill, FL R+63
- Ensley, FL R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rowland Heights, CA D+10
- Jeffersonville, IN R+7
- Middletown, NY D+13
- Upper Arlington, OH D+31
- New Albany, IN R+6
- Brighton, MA D+61
- Frankfort, KY R+18
- Cuyahoga Falls, OH D+7
- Brea, CA R+2
- Lake Stevens, WA R+4
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.