Avondale is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Avondale typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Avondale, ~28% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Avondale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Avondale sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 69 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 22 leaning the other way.
Avondale runs about 19 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Avondale sits closer to the political middle.
Why Avondale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Avondale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Avondale votes against the grain of Missouri. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Avondale runs about 19 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Avondale, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Avondale looks the way it does
Turnout in Avondale sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Kansas City, MO D+32
- Oaks, MO R+6
- Kansas City, MO D+6
- Northmoor, MO D+16
- Oakview, MO R+3
- Gladstone, MO D+4
- Claycomo, MO R+11
- Riverside, MO Even
- Houston Lake, MO R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Petersburg, PA R+64
- Cornish, CO R+73
- Silver, SC D+31
- Sister Lakes, MI R+36
- Davin, WV R+69
- Draneville, GA Even
- Selfridge, ND D+32
- Sextonville, WI R+22
- Drenthe, MI R+45
- Scuffleton, NC R+30
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.