Baca County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Baca County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baca County, ~11% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baca County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Baca County leans more Republican than 3 of 4 neighbors.
Baca County runs about 80 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Baca County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Baca County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+77) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Baca County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baca County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Baca County votes against the grain of Colorado. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Baca County runs about 80 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Baca County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 96% of counties).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Baca County, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Baca County looks the way it does
Turnout in Baca County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Cimarron County, OK R+68
- Morton County, KS R+74
- Stanton County, KS R+48
- Prowers County, CO R+38
- Hamilton County, KS R+71
- Bent County, CO R+29
- Grant County, KS R+59
- Stevens County, KS R+73
- Union County, NM R+52
- Texas County, OK R+45
Counties with Similar Populations
- Osborne County, KS R+74
- Costilla County, CO D+19
- Lewis County, ID R+60
- Mercer County, MO R+70
- Sheridan County, MT R+58
- Baylor County, TX R+66
- Hardeman County, TX R+60
- Hanson County, SD R+72
- Smith County, KS R+72
- Roger Mills County, OK R+83
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.